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Cognition and mental health

Management of mental health disorders in people with MS

Emotional problems in people with MS must be recognised, addressed and treated, rather than dismissed as an inevitable consequence of living with this chronic condition.

Key points

  • An MS diagnosis naturally triggers emotions similar to the stages of grief (denial, anger, bargaining, depression, acceptance); in addition, the unpredictability of MS causes anxiety in many patients.
  • Anxiety, often combined with depression, is linked to a poorer quality of life, cognitive dysfunction, increased risk of suicide, and significant occupational and social problems.
  • Emotional problems in MS are typically exacerbated by fatigue, pain and poor sleep – all of which interfere with therapy and lifestyle adjustments.
  • Emotional changes in MS require treatment, just as physical symptoms do. This should comprise routine screening, targeted drug treatment and structured psychological and behavioural therapies.
  • Motivational coping styles that involve direct problem-solving and active participation in treatment planning (i.e. self-management) help people with MS adjust to their diagnosis.
  • Avoidance coping strategies generally lead to poorer psychological outcomes.
  • The presence of social support is a critical protective factor.

Impact of emotional changes

Emotional disorders have an adverse effect in people with MS, potentially impairing their ability to cope with disability and reducing overall health-related quality of life. Living with MS can also adversely affect relationships, for complex reasons, including both emotional and physical problems associated with the disease. Therefore, such symptoms must be recognised, addressed and treated, rather than dismissed as an inevitable or acceptable consequence of living with a chronic condition such as MS.

Emotional disturbances in people with MS may be reactive, i.e. a natural, adaptive psychological response to being diagnosed with a long-term, unpredictable and potentially disabling disease. Common emotions include grief, sadness, worry, fear, irritability and moodiness. Elisabeth Kübler-Ross in 1969 described five common stages of grief, best known by the acronym DABDA. We have added an extra A, for Anxiety about the future, to include the emotional reaction to a diagnosis of MS. The expands the mnemonic to six stages: DABDAA.

Denial, Anger, Bargaining, Depression, Acceptance, Anxiety

These emotional stages are considered ‘normal’ and an understandable coping mechanism. As with grieving, if they are prolonged, dominant and impact your social and occupational functioning, they are considered abnormal and require intervention. Remaining angry, resentful and depressed for decades will negatively impact your functioning. 

Anxiety and depression in MS

Anxiety affects people with MS with a frequency often matching or exceeding that of depression. The highest prevalence of anxiety is observed in people with MS with low physical disability, defined by an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of less than 3.0. This finding suggests that anxiety is driven less by accumulated physical deficit than by the psychological factors of worry, fear and the inherent unpredictability of MS.

Maladaptive coping strategies are strongly associated with an increased risk of developing mood symptoms. A tendency to use avoidance coping – disengaging from problems rather than confronting them – is a significant predictor of poorer psychological outcomes. Similarly, psychological traits such as low optimism or a less positive attitude can heighten the risk of anxiety.

For a significant subset of patients, MS may first present not to a neurologist, but to a primary care physician, a therapist or a psychiatrist, with symptoms of anxiety or depression. Because the symptoms are psychiatric, the underlying neurological cause is not yet suspected.

Quality of life and daily functioning

Anxiety is a major contributor to the overall disease burden of MS, affecting nearly every aspect of life. Studies show that anxiety, often combined with depression, is linked to a poorer quality of life, cognitive dysfunction, increased risk of suicide, and significant occupational and social problems.

The impact of anxiety on many of the most challenging symptoms of MS – notably fatigue, pain and sleep problems – may be greater even than the effect of depression.  MS symptoms can trigger or worsen anxiety, and the resulting anxiety intensifies the perception and severity of those same symptoms, thus creating a negative feedback loop.

Damaging health behaviours linked to undiagnosed and untreated anxiety can further compromise a patient’s well-being. For example, alcohol and substance abuse, as well as smoking, not only have their own intrinsic health risks but can also interfere with MS management and adherence to treatment. 

Anxiety as a reaction to living with MS

The direct impact of the disease on the brain’s emotional circuits occurs in parallel with the profound psychological and existential challenges of living with MS. Even in the absence of any direct neurological damage to mood-regulating centres, the lived experience of MS itself provides rationale for the development of severe anxiety. 

The unpredictability of the disease and the constant knowledge that a relapse could occur at any time, potentially worsening MS symptoms and existing function, create a state of chronic hypervigilance and worry. This pervasive sense of a loss of control over one’s own body and life is a catalyst for anxiety. Anxiety creates a vicious, self-perpetuating cycle where the physical and psychiatric symptoms mutually reinforce one another.

Anxiety cycle

Multiple stressors

Beyond this overarching uncertainty, living with MS entails a host of stressors.

  • Diagnosis. The diagnostic journey is a period of intense anxiety, often involving a prolonged period of uncertainty as symptoms are investigated. Once diagnosed, patients face a continuous process of adjusting and readjusting to changing abilities.
  • Hidden problems. The invisibility of some of the most burdensome symptoms, such as debilitating fatigue, cognitive fog, or sensory disturbances, can lead to a profound sense of feeling misunderstood, isolated and frustrated.
  • Visible symptoms. Conversely, the emergence of visible symptoms, like a limp or the need for a mobility aid, can bring its own anxieties related to stigma and self-image.
  • Daily life. Financial concerns related to healthcare costs, employment and the ability to continue working, as well as the impact of MS on relationships and potential parenting, may further increase anxiety. 

Existential threat

Profound existential and symbolic threats to a person’s sense of self can further exacerbate anxiety. The sense of loss triggered by a diagnosis of MS – loss of a healthy body, a previously held future and a former identity – is followed by changes in fundamental life roles. This can lead to feelings of inadequacy, guilt and a crisis of identity – perceived as a threat to one’s core self. The constant need to adapt to new limitations can feel like a continuous erosion of the self, and the fear of future disability becomes a fear of further loss of identity.

Addressing this existential dimension of anxiety is crucial for promoting long-term psychological adjustment and overall well-being. Treatment often involves helping individuals grieve their losses, redefine their sense of self and purpose within the context of their illness, and find new sources of meaning and value in their lives. 

Cognitive impairment

The impact of anxiety on cognitive function is well documented. Cognitive impairment, particularly slowed information processing speed, is a common and debilitating feature of MS. Anxiety has a detrimental effect on cognitive domains that are already compromised, such as attention and executive functions. It does this by increasing an individual’s awareness of task-irrelevant, often threat-related, stimuli, which interferes with the goal-oriented cognitive processing required for the task at hand. Thus, the underlying cognitive deficit from MS is compounded by the cognitive interference from anxiety, leading to a greater overall level of impairment than either condition would cause alone. Importantly, therefore, treating a patient’s anxiety can lead to measurable improvements in their cognitive functioning. 

Mood, fatigue, pain and sleep – a vicious cycle

Emotional problems rarely occur in isolation in MS; they are typically part of a clinical syndrome including fatigue, pain and poor sleep. This interconnected symptom cluster reduces health-related quality of life and establishes significant barriers to therapy and lifestyle modification.

Fatigue

Fatigue is one of the most common and disabling symptoms of MS, and it is strongly and consistently correlated with anxiety. This is not a simple correlation but a predictive relationship. Higher levels of anxiety at one point in time can predict the severity of fatigue at a later date. Conversely, higher levels of fatigue can predict the later development or worsening of anxiety.

The severity of depression in highly fatigued people with MS also makes the management of fatigue a high priority in reducing the overall psychiatric burden and allowing patients to engage in psychological interventions such as cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT).

Pain and emotional distress

A two-way relationship also exists between pain and anxiety, where anxiety is associated with higher reported pain intensity and greater interference of pain with daily activities.  The pain symptoms cause distress and anxiety, and the physical and mental state of anxiety (e.g. muscle tension, worry, poor sleep) in turn exacerbates the symptoms. Moderate or severe intensity pain that interferes with work, household activities or enjoyment of life affects about one-third of people with MS.

Sleep

Sleep is probably the most neglected MS-related problem in routine clinical practice; most people with MS have a sleep disorder. Depression, anxiety, pain and many other MS-related symptoms affect sleep quality. Therefore, it is challenging to manage MS-related emotional disorders without addressing sleep quality.

Lifestyle management and adherence

The cyclical nature of this grouping of mood disorder, fatigue, pain and poor sleep creates barriers to effective management. Emotional distress and physical symptoms can hamper efforts to start or maintain a healthy lifestyle. Since modifiable lifestyle factors (e.g. exercise) are associated with reduced pain burden, a vicious cycle is established: the disease causes emotional distress, the emotional distress prevents adherence to healthy behaviours, and the lack of healthy behaviours exacerbates physical symptoms.

Inappropriate laughing and crying

Inappropriate laughing and crying (pseudobulbar affect, PBA) are two neglected symptoms that often go undetected and untreated in people with MS. This doesn’t have to be the case. They are a further sign of significant damage to the brain and yet another reason to diagnose and treat MS early and effectively.

Case study 

When I first met her, she was in her early fifties. She had had MS for over 20 years. Her family now kept her at home, isolated from the wider world. Her behaviour would embarrass them. Why?

She suffered from pathological laughter and occasionally inappropriate crying; her husband and children could not deal with this in public. She was clearly very disabled when I met her; she was unsteady on her feet and had slurred speech and dancing eyes from cerebellar problems. She had gross cognitive impairment. When I introduced myself to her, she burst into tears. Within 2−3 months of starting sertraline, a selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI), her husband informed me that her laughing and crying episodes had improved by over 50% and the family were now taking her out regularly. He was very grateful that I had been able to educate them about her symptoms and, more importantly, help her and them as a family deal with this problem.

PBA is diagnosed using standardised scales or questionnaires, which can be self-administered (Center for Neurologic Study-Lability Scale [CNS-LS]). These symptoms respond to tricyclic and SSRI antidepressants and to a combination pill (Nuedexta®; licensed in the USA) that includes dextromethorphan hydrobromide and quinidine sulfate. 

Management of emotional disorders                                                     

Routine screening, targeted drug treatment and structured psychological and behavioural therapies are core components of integrated care in MS. Emotional changes in MS require treatment, just as physical symptoms do.

Screening and education

Routine screening for both anxiety and depression should be part of standard MS care and should be conducted at all scheduled neurological visits. You may be asked to complete different screening questionnaires for depression, anxiety, fatigue and poor sleep. Ideally these should be done before your appointment so that the healthcare professional (HCP) can act on them during the consultation. 

HCPs should educate their patients and their families about potential emotional changes associated with MS, in particular, irritability, crying and mood swings. This education should help reduce the stigma and embarrassment associated with emotional outbursts and enable the patient’s support network to develop coping strategies.

Drug treatment

Drug treatment must be tailored to the specific diagnosis and emotional disorder.

  • Depression and anxiety: The standard use of selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) and serotonin−norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors (SNRIs) is recommended for the management of clinical depression and anxiety disorders.
  • Irritability: Treatment options for irritability include SSRI antidepressants, which are often needed in addition to CBT. 
  • Pseudobulbar affect (PBA): Low-dose tricyclic or SSRI antidepressants can be effective in the treatment of PBA, but their use is off-label. In the USA, the combination of dextromethorphan hydrobromide and quinidine sulfate has been approved for PBA. In other countries, the combination of these two drugs can be effective in PBA, but again, the use of these two drugs separately is off-label and not recommended.
  • Apathy: Therapeutic strategies, such as cognitive rehabilitation, that enhance cognitive processing speed and executive function are more appropriate for apathy than antidepressants. However, such approaches are hard to access on the UK NHS and are not available in many healthcare systems. There are no licensed medications for apathy, but anecdotal evidence suggests that fampridine and some stimulants may help.
  • Further research: Properly randomised controlled trials are needed to determine the effectiveness of drugs that some patients obtain and use without a prescription. These include cannabis, psychedelics and ketamine, which are currently not licensed for managing anxiety in MS and are not advised.

Psychological and behavioural interventions

Evidence-based structured psychological interventions are as important as drug treatment for the management of anxiety and depression and should be considered a first-line approach in MS. CBT can address maladaptive thought patterns (e.g. catastrophic thinking about the future) and avoidant behaviours common in anxiety. Acceptance and commitment therapy (ACT) focuses on promoting psychological flexibility and acceptance, which is crucial for managing the reactive distress, grief and fear stemming from the unpredictable nature of the disease. Mindfulness, relaxation techniques and structured exercise programs have also been shown to manage anxiety and stress effectively. 

Interventions such as physical activity and social therapies enable some people with MS to process the grief and losses imposed by MS. Simple behavioural strategies, such as taking a break from a conversation when emotions escalate, can also be beneficial. 

Protective factors

Several protective factors can bolster resilience and lower the risk of anxiety. Motivational coping styles that involve direct problem-solving and active participation in treatment planning (i.e. self-management) are associated with better adjustment. One of the most critical protective factors is the presence of social support. Robust practical and emotional help from friends and family, and the knowledge that help is available if needed, significantly reduces the risk of mood symptoms. Finding ways to continue participating in previously enjoyed activities, albeit with new limitations, are key to coping. Interventions aimed at strengthening coping skills, fostering optimism and building social support networks can play a crucial role in preventing and treating anxiety in this population.

The therapeutic challenge

There is substantial symptom overlap between anxiety and depression (e.g. sleep disturbance, fatigue, difficulty concentrating) and between these mood disorders and the primary symptoms of MS. This can make it challenging for HCPs to discern whether a specific symptom, e.g. fatigue, is primarily a neurological symptom of MS, a physical symptom of depression, a consequence of the hyperarousal and poor sleep of anxiety, or a combination of all three. Use of appropriate screening tools can help to ensure that both anxiety and depression are accurately identified and appropriately treated.

Conclusion

MS profoundly affects emotional health across a broad and complex spectrum, manifesting as major depressive disorders, high levels of anxiety, the neurological syndrome of pseudobulbar affect, the cognitive−behavioural syndrome of apathy and, rarely, mania. These emotional changes are driven by primary damage to cortical-subcortical and brainstem circuits, coupled with reactive psychological distress resulting from living with a chronic, unpredictable illness. The current standard of care mandates routine screening, targeted drug treatments and psychological support utilising CBT and ACT. 

Brain health and holistic management of MS, Treatment strategy

What are the consequences of not treating MS?

Are there valid reasons not to treat MS with a disease-modifying therapy? What are the consequences of not treating MS? Is watchful waiting justified?

Key points

  • Untreated MS will, given time, result in physical disability, impaired quality of life and ‘hidden’ problems such as cognitive impairment, anxiety and depression.
  • Brain atrophy, or shrinkage, occurs at a faster rate in people with MS than in healthy individuals.
  • Optic neuritis, inflammation or destruction of nerve fibres in the brain and spinal cord, and extensive damage to the cerebral cortex (grey matter) are some consequences of MS lesion development.
  • Quality of life impacts may include reduced mobility, relationship difficulties, increased likelihood of unemployment and memory impairment.
  • Without treatment, the life expectancy of people with MS is reduced by about 6 ̶ 8 years.
  • There are, however, several valid reasons why some people with MS prefer not to receive disease-modifying treatments.

Risks from no disease-modifying treatment

Many patients ask me what will happen to their MS if they don’t take a disease-modifying treatment (DMT) and how effective DMTs are at preventing negative outcomes. Here I try and address questions you need to ask yourself before starting a DMT.

If you are an individual with MS, predicting your disease course is difficult. However, many studies monitoring groups of people with MS show patterns in relation to the progression of the disease and its outcome, with various data sets being consistent.

Given sufficient time, most people with MS who are not treated will become disabled. Most people focus on physical disability, but MS causes many hidden problems, such as cognitive impairment, anxiety and depression.

How untreated MS can progress – headline results

The slides below summarise some of the outcomes of untreated MS; these include brain changes (atrophy), further MS lesion development, reduced health-related quality of life, long-term impact on physical and mental health and shorter life expectancy. (To enlarge an individual slide, click on the arrow at the top right.)

Brain changes
MS lesion development
Quality of life impact
Long-term outlook

DMTs have changed the landscape

It is important to note that these outcomes are from the pre-DMT era and don’t apply to populations of people with MS treated with DMTs. New real-life data indicate that DMTs, particularly high-efficacy DMTs, are preventing many of these problems. By not being on a DMT, if you have active MS, you are at risk of acquiring damage from focal inflammatory lesions. Early in the disease course, you may not be aware of this damage because of the remarkable capacity of the nervous system to compensate for damage (neurological reserve). However, once the compensatory mechanisms have been exhausted, further damage results in overt disability. It is important to regard DMTs as preventive treatments, i.e. their aim is to delay, and hopefully prevent, future disability.

Possible reasons for not receiving a DMT

Many people with MS will not be on a DMT, for a variety of reasons. The list below is probably not extensive; if you know of other reasons why someone who qualifies is not taking a DMT, please let me know.

Inactive MS

Someone with inactive MS will not be eligible for a DMT. There is no standard definition of active MS. To me, active MS is recent evidence of focal inflammatory disease activity, defined as:

  • clinical relapse(s) in the last 2 years
  • OR magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity in the last 12 ̶ 36 months (new or enlarging T2 lesions or T1 Gd-enhancing lesions)
  • OR a raised cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) neurofilament light chain level in the last 12 months.

Worsening disability in MS without focal inflammatory disease activity is not active disease. It can be due to damage caused by past inflammation, smouldering MS or the effects of premature ageing; anti-inflammatory DMTs can’t address this problem. We need different types of DMTs to address these mechanisms – for example, neuroprotective and/or remyelination therapies and anti-ageing therapies.

Watchful waiting

In many situations, some neurologists think someone with MS will end up having benign disease, so they are not prepared to start treatment until the patient develops some overt disability. I abhor this practice and it is one of the reasons I spend so much of my time disseminating knowledge and getting involved with health politics. Watchful waiting, in terms of treating MS, is not supported by data. The earlier and more effectively you treat MS, the better the outcome. The only situation I could condone watchful waiting in someone with active MS is when the diagnosis of MS is in question. Sometimes in neurology, time is the best diagnostician. If the person has MS, it will declare itself with further disease activity, and this would be the trigger to start a DMT.

Family planning

Trying to fall pregnant, pregnancy or breastfeeding are common reasons to interrupt or stop DMTs. Please note that most neurologists now have options to treat MS during pregnancy and while breastfeeding, so this is becoming a less common reason for not taking a DMT.

Risk aversion

Some people with MS are not prepared to take the potential risks associated with DMTs.

Personal reasons

Some people with MS don’t believe in having their MS treated, preferring to try alternative medicines and turn down traditional DMTs. If you are one of these people, I would recommend you continue to interact with your MS team and have regular monitoring of your MS (clinical, MRI, patient-related outcome measures [PROMS] and possibly CSF analyses). Then, if these alternative strategies don’t work, you will keep open the option of treatment with a ‘traditional DMT‘. Most alternative treatment strategies for MS are compatible with DMTs and hence should be viewed as complementary. Understanding the difference between complementary and alternative treatments is important. Complementary treatment strategies are part of the holistic management of MS.

Financial constraints

In some parts of the world, MS treatment is not covered by a national health service or medical insurance scheme and some people with MS simply can’t afford DMTs. Even in rich countries, people with MS who are disenfranchised don’t have access to treatment; these may include illegal immigrants, refugees and asylum seekers waiting for their applications to be processed.

Progressive or more advanced MS

In most countries, neurologists don’t initiate treatment in patients with more advanced MS. This approach is based on a lack of evidence of the effectiveness of DMTs in this population. However, we are increasingly offering ocrelizumab (for active primary progressive MS), siponimod (for active secondary progressive MS) or off-label therapies on a compassionate basis to people with more advanced MS. In addition, there is also the potential to participate in clinical trials of new treatments for more advanced MS.

Ageism

Some healthcare systems and some neurologists are reluctant to start DMTs in people with MS who are over a certain age. This is based on a lack of evidence of the effectiveness of DMTs in this population, and it is why we need to do clinical trials in older people with MS.

Comorbidities

Many people have other medical problems for which the treatment takes priority over the treatment of MS. For example, a patient of mine was diagnosed with stage four bowel cancer. After her surgery, she started an intensive period of chemotherapy during which we stopped her DMT.

References

  1. Fisher E, et al. Gray matter atrophy in multiple sclerosis: a longitudinal study. Ann Neurol 2008;64:255–65.
  2. Barkhof F, et al. Imaging outcomes for neuroprotection and repair in multiple sclerosis trials. Nat Rev Neurol 2009;5:256–66.
  3. Simon JH. Brain atrophy in multiple sclerosis: what we know and would like to know. Mult Scler 2006;12:679–87.
  4. Ziemssen T, et al. Optimizing treatment success in multiple sclerosis. J Neurol 2016;263:1053–65.
  5. Hickman SJ, et al. Detection of optic nerve atrophy following a single episode of unilateral optic neuritis by MRI using a fat-saturated short-echo fast FLAIR sequence. Neuroradiology 2001;43:123–8.
  6. Trapp BD, et al. Axonal transection in the lesions of multiple sclerosis. N Engl J Med 1998;338:278–85.
  7. Peterson JW, et al. Transected neurites, apoptotic neurons, and reduced inflammation in cortical multiple sclerosis lesions. Ann Neurol 2001;50:389–400.
  8. Orme M, et al. The effect of disease, functional status, and relapses on the utility of people with multiple sclerosis in the UK. Value Health 2007;10:54–60.
  9. Pfleger CC, et al. Social consequences of multiple sclerosis (1): early pension and temporary unemployment – a historical prospective cohort study. Mult Scler 2010;16:121–6.
  10. Kobelt G, et al. Costs and quality of life of patients with multiple sclerosis in Europe. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 2006;77:918–26.
  11. Feuillet L, et al. Early cognitive impairment in patients with clinically isolated syndrome suggestive of multiple sclerosis. Mult Scler 2007;13:124–7. 
  12. Confavreux C and Compston A. Chapter 4. The natural history of multiple sclerosis. In: McAlpine’s Multiple Sclerosis, Fourth Edition, 2006; 183 ̶ 272. Churchill Livingstone.
  13. Weinshenker BG et al. The natural history of multiple sclerosis: a geographically based study. I. Clinical course and disability. Brain 1989;112:133 ̶ 46.
  14. Torkildsen GN, et al. Survival and cause of death in multiple sclerosis: results from a 50-year follow-up in Western Norway. Mult Scler 2008;14:1191–8.
  15. Kingwell E, et al. Relative mortality and survival in multiple sclerosis: findings from British Columbia, Canada. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 2012;83:61–6.
  16. Sadovnick AD, et al. Cause of death in patients attending multiple sclerosis clinics. Neurology 1991;41:1193–6.
  17. Brenner P, et al. Multiple sclerosis and risk of attempted and completed suicide – a cohort study. Eur J Neurol 2016;23:1329–36. 

Brain health and holistic management of MS, Causes and prevention of MS

What prognostic group do I fall into?

Having some idea of how bad your MS is, or not, will allow you to discuss important issues with your neurologist so that you can make an informed decision about your MS treatment.

Key points

  • It is hard to predict the disease course of MS accurately for an individual.
  • Population data allow us to define three broad prognostic MS categories: good, indeterminate or poor.
  • Given sufficient time, most people with MS will do badly without treatment.
  • Factors linked to poor prognosis in untreated people with MS are listed.
  • The wide use of disease-modifying therapies is changing the natural history of MS for the better.
  • Adopting a healthy lifestyle, in parallel with appropriate treatment, can help to improve outcomes.  

Predicting MS outcomes: an imperfect science

We can’t predict the prognosis of an individual person with MS very accurately. So don’t let your neurologist mislead you if he or she says you are likely to have benign MS. ‘Benign MS’ is a relative term and can only be used retrospectively once you have had MS for many years or decades. In the era before disease-modifying treatments (DMTs), most people with MS would eventually become disabled, which is why I prefer not to use the term benign MS to predict outcomes. I now use it as a treatment aim, because we want all people with MS to have benign disease.

Three broad prognostic categories

Applying population data to place an individual into a broad prognostic group is often helpful. It allows you to frame your disease in terms of potential outcomes and may help you balance the risks of some treatments against the potential impact of MS later in your life. Predicting outcomes in MS is comparable to an actuary working in the insurance industry; we try to give you an average prognosis with a wide range of possibilities or errors. For this reason, I try to keep it simple and classify people with MS into three prognostic categories: poor, indeterminate, or good. Poor in this context means that if you leave MS to its own devices and let it run its natural course, the average person in this category will do badly.

Most people with a predicted poor prognosis will do badly without treatment for their MS.

Given sufficient time, most people with MS will deteriorate without treatment. This is why I actively promote treatment based on the scientific rationale that preventing damage now will protect your brain reserve and cognitive reserve and improve your long-term outcome. This is the philosophy behind the MS Brain Health initiative and the report Brain health: time matters in multiple sclerosis,1 which everyone with MS should take time to read. 

Factors linked to poor prognosis

Below is a list of factors that have been linked to poor prognosis in people who have not received a DMT. If you have fewer than five of these factors, you are likely to have a good outcome. In comparison, people with ten or more of these factors fall into the poor prognostic group. Most people with MS fall into the intermediate (indeterminate) prognostic group, with 5–10 of these factors. Some of these baseline factors are modifiable,2,3 so you can make the effort to help improve your own prognosis. 

Please note that the factors listed here only apply to people with MS who are untreated.  It is clear that DMTs are changing the outcome of MS.

  1. Older age of onset (greater than 40 years).
  2. Male sex.
  3. Multifocal onset – more than one site in the nervous system involved with the initial attack.
  4. Efferent or effector system is affected early – that is, the motor (power), cerebellar (balance and coordination) or bladder and bowel functions.  
  5. Partial or no recovery from initial relapses – do you have residual deficits from your initial attacks?
  6. A high relapse rate in the first 2 years – that is, more than two relapses. 
  7. Early disability – an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score > 3.0 within 5 years of symptom onset indicates a poor prognosis. You can calculate your EDSS using an online calculator (web-EDSS calculator).
  8. Abnormal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan with large lesion load – more than nine T2 lesions (white blobs) on the baseline MRI.
  9. Active or enhancing lesions on your baseline (initial) MRI – enhancing lesions imply that the lesions are new and actively inflamed.
  10. Posterior fossa lesions on the MRI – these refer to lesions in the back of the brain that involve the brainstem and cerebellum.
  11. Lesions in the spinal cord on MRI.
  12. Obvious early brain atrophy on MRI – brain atrophy refers to premature shrinkage of the brain over and above what you would expect for your age. This information is unlikely to be available to you because neuroradiologists often do not measure or comment on it. 
  13. Retinal thinning on optic coherence tomography (OCT) – people with MS who have lost a lot of retinal nerve fibres do worse than people with a normal retina. Yes, the eye is truly a window into what is happening in the brain of someone with MS. 
  14. Abnormal cerebrospinal fluid – positive immunoglobulin (Ig) bands (known as oligoclonal bands, OCBs) in the spinal fluid.
  15. Raised neurofilament levels in your spinal fluid – this test may not be part of routine care at your neurology centre. Neurofilaments are proteins that are released from damaged nerve fibres, and high neurofilament levels indicate greater damage and poorer outcome than low levels.
  16. Low vitamin D levels – this is controversial, but several studies have shown that people with MS with low vitamin D levels do worse than those with higher levels. These observations do not necessarily imply that by taking vitamin D you will do better. Low vitamin D levels may be related to reverse causation, in that the MS-associated inflammation uses up vitamin D; more inflammation indicates worse MS and is therefore linked with greater depletion of vitamin D levels.
  17. Smoking – smokers with MS do worse than non-smokers. This is modifiable and it is one of many reasons why you should try and give up smoking. 
  18. Comorbidities – people with MS who are obese, have diabetes, prediabetes, hypertension or raised cholesterol do worse than people with MS without these comorbidities.4
  19. Cognitive impairment – people with MS with poor cognitive function do worse than people with MS with good cognition. You can’t really assess your own cognition at present; you need to have it tested by a neuropsychologist.

‘It won’t happen to me’

Humans have interesting psychology in that they tend to consider themselves to be the exception to the rule. Gamblers don’t enter a casino to lose; they always believe they will win. A person with lung cancer who starts chemotherapy believes they will be one of the 10% who is cured. When someone is diagnosed with MS, they believe they will be one of the 30% with benign disease. (The current view among MS neurologists is that 30% of untreated people with MS will have benign disease.) 

This definition of ‘benign MS’ is based on having no or little disability at 15 years since onset, i.e., an EDSS score of 3.0 or less (no visible disability). However, when you interrogate people with so-called benign MS you find that more than 50% of them have hidden symptoms of depression, anxiety or cognitive impairment. Can we really justify this definition of benign MS? What is more, when you follow people with benign MS past 15 years, only 15% remain benign at 25 years and 5% at 30 years. If you get to 40 years of follow-up, half of these with benign MS will become disabled over the next 10 years.

Moving towards a more favourable outcome

Many will state that these figures are now out of date and there are newer and better figures, which show MS is a more benign disease. You are right, and there are several very good reasons for this. In population-based studies, the proportion of subjects with benign MS is greater than in hospital- or clinic-based studies; for example, in the Olmsted Mayo Clinic MS population, about 45% have benign disease at 15 years. The reason for this is that people with MS with benign disease often drop out of hospital follow-up, but still show up in population-based studies. 

The earlier diagnosis of MS, that is, identification of those who would not have been diagnosed in the past, is changing the definition of MS. For example, most people with a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) are now being diagnosed as having MS. The wide use of DMTs is beginning to change the natural history of MS for the better; making sure that people with MS adopt a healthy lifestyle is another strategy that can be done in parallel. 

With currently available high-efficacy DMTs and the prospect of effective combination treatments in the future, the proportion of people with MS who experience normal ageing is set to increase. The blue areas illustrate the likely number of people with MS in each prognostic category.
With currently available high-efficacy DMTs and the prospect of effective combination treatments in the future, the proportion of people with MS who experience normal ageing is set to increase. The blue areas illustrate the likely number of people with MS in each prognostic category.
With currently available high-efficacy DMTs and the prospect of effective combination treatments in the future, the proportion of people with MS who experience normal ageing is set to increase. The blue areas illustrate the likely number of people with MS in each prognostic category.
With currently available high-efficacy DMTs and the prospect of effective combination treatments in the future, the proportion of people with MS who experience normal ageing is set to increase. The blue areas illustrate the likely number of people with MS in each prognostic category.

With currently available high-efficacy DMTs and the prospect of effective combination treatments in the future, the proportion of people with MS who experience normal ageing is set to increase. The blue areas illustrate the likely proportion of people with MS in each prognostic category.

The above figures illustrate what we aim to do with currently available high-efficacy DMTs (compared with older, lower efficacy treatments). We are simply trying to move you to the right, into a more favourable prognostic group. In other words, we want to make sure your MS is benign and that you reach old age with as healthy a brain as possible. Your brain reserve and cognitive reserve protect you from developing age-related cognitive impairment and dementia. MS reduces both of these reserves, which is why it is so important to protect them. With the prospect of effective combination treatments in the future, the proportion of people with MS who experience normal ageing is set to increase.

References

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  4. Kappus N, et al. Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with increased lesion burden and brain atrophy in multiple sclerosis. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry 2016;87:181–7.